Joe-Let's start from the elephant in the room. Neither Witkoff nor anyone living can negotiate a nuclear 'deal' with Iran unless and until there is some 'deal' with Israel's nuclear weapons. Iran wants to be a force in the region but they have to live with the constant threat of attack from Israel. That alone is an impetus for them to develop and maintain a nuclear force.
Letting Putin be the middle man is preposterous; if there was someone more conflicted, I can't think who that would be. We've suffered from our unwillingness to be an honest broker across the region and Putin is going to make it work?
Trump is transactional from the get go. He wants something for himself...and there isn't anything that any of these parties can give him. Unlike Carter, Obama, and to some extent, Biden, there was a genuine interest in limiting the spread of nuclear weapons and making peace. DJT is arming Israel and allowing the Israelis to bombard the defenseless Palestinians as well as Iran's proxy, Hezbollah.
Unless there is something that Witkoff can offer the Iranians in terms of security, I doubt that there will be any movement. The threat of creating nuclear weapons is the only card that the Iranians have to play. Once they play it, they're toast. And dependent on the good will of DJT and Bibi...
Does Putin want the current situation.... America strong + EU weak
To become this?..... America strong + EU strong
===========
Joe writes, "What is left of the (Iran) deal is set to expire on October 18 of this year. "
So the amazing Iran deal that Trump backed out of would have already been over by this year anyway.
===========
Joe writes, "This is the outcome most clearly in Putin’s interests. It would bring Iran out from under sanctions that have crippled its economy"
Today we see, 1) sanctions that have crippled Iran's economy, and 2) no Iranian nukes.
Trump's accomplishment.
===========
Here's the way to debunk Trump Joe.
American presidents don't belong in Iran talks. That's a matter for the Iranians and Israelis to work out among themselves.
American presidents belong out of Europe, and out of the Middle East, and laser focused on China, the biggest dictatorship in world history, the primary threat of the 21st century.
China is smart. They are wearing themselves out getting involved in conflicts all over the world. They've got their eye on the ball. We could learn from that.
Trump is getting distracted by the same old never ending conflicts that should be resolved by the locals.
I would not underestimate his willingness to attack Iran, especially in coordination with Israel. As you note the deal he will push will be DOA in Iran, thereby clearing the way for force.
Russia's announced readiness to replace the U.S.A. in oil supplies to China.
You remember that the main official purpose of Trump (Vitkov, Rubio) budding with Putin is to pull Russia away from China?
The most ignorant, self-delusional and corrupt US. admin ever. Or they believe that only making China and Russia great again. Will ensure Trump reigning in America forever?
Or both?
Russia is ready to send China as much oil as it needs, Deputy Head of the Russian Foreign Ministry Andrei Rudenko told
Joe-Let's start from the elephant in the room. Neither Witkoff nor anyone living can negotiate a nuclear 'deal' with Iran unless and until there is some 'deal' with Israel's nuclear weapons. Iran wants to be a force in the region but they have to live with the constant threat of attack from Israel. That alone is an impetus for them to develop and maintain a nuclear force.
Letting Putin be the middle man is preposterous; if there was someone more conflicted, I can't think who that would be. We've suffered from our unwillingness to be an honest broker across the region and Putin is going to make it work?
Trump is transactional from the get go. He wants something for himself...and there isn't anything that any of these parties can give him. Unlike Carter, Obama, and to some extent, Biden, there was a genuine interest in limiting the spread of nuclear weapons and making peace. DJT is arming Israel and allowing the Israelis to bombard the defenseless Palestinians as well as Iran's proxy, Hezbollah.
Unless there is something that Witkoff can offer the Iranians in terms of security, I doubt that there will be any movement. The threat of creating nuclear weapons is the only card that the Iranians have to play. Once they play it, they're toast. And dependent on the good will of DJT and Bibi...
Tom
Joe writes, "The key to predicting Donald’s Trump’s national security decisions is to ask: What does Putin want?"
===========
Does Putin want the massive rearming of Germany?
https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20250305-germany-set-for-massive-rearmament-as-divide-with-us-widens
===========
Does Putin want the current situation.... America strong + EU weak
To become this?..... America strong + EU strong
===========
Joe writes, "What is left of the (Iran) deal is set to expire on October 18 of this year. "
So the amazing Iran deal that Trump backed out of would have already been over by this year anyway.
===========
Joe writes, "This is the outcome most clearly in Putin’s interests. It would bring Iran out from under sanctions that have crippled its economy"
Today we see, 1) sanctions that have crippled Iran's economy, and 2) no Iranian nukes.
Trump's accomplishment.
===========
Here's the way to debunk Trump Joe.
American presidents don't belong in Iran talks. That's a matter for the Iranians and Israelis to work out among themselves.
American presidents belong out of Europe, and out of the Middle East, and laser focused on China, the biggest dictatorship in world history, the primary threat of the 21st century.
China is smart. They are wearing themselves out getting involved in conflicts all over the world. They've got their eye on the ball. We could learn from that.
Trump is getting distracted by the same old never ending conflicts that should be resolved by the locals.
I would not underestimate his willingness to attack Iran, especially in coordination with Israel. As you note the deal he will push will be DOA in Iran, thereby clearing the way for force.
Russia's announced readiness to replace the U.S.A. in oil supplies to China.
You remember that the main official purpose of Trump (Vitkov, Rubio) budding with Putin is to pull Russia away from China?
The most ignorant, self-delusional and corrupt US. admin ever. Or they believe that only making China and Russia great again. Will ensure Trump reigning in America forever?
Or both?
Russia is ready to send China as much oil as it needs, Deputy Head of the Russian Foreign Ministry Andrei Rudenko told
TASS.
Make it a crayon and coloring book to complement his comprehension. FEH.
Terrifying.